Brexit becoming more popular, poll suggests
More Britons are keen on a British exit, though one in five remain undecided, according to the latest opinion poll on the EU referendum.
The Survation poll of 2,007 voting UK adults, conducted on behalf of the Leave.EU campaign, was the first to be held since David Cameron revealed the concessions he is seeking in his negotiations with other European leaders.
By 9 November it was revealed the Prime Minister wanted an opt-out from the concept of ‘ever closer union’, more powers to block EU laws, reduce so-called red tape regulation for British businesses and restrict benefits for new EU migrants.
The online poll, conducted on 9-11 November, asked the same question as the Electoral Commission has recommended for the referendum – “Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union.”
38% of respondents wanted to remain a member of the EU, while 43% wanted to leave. 19% were undecided.
Compared with Survation’s poll for Huffington Post on 27 September – before Cameron’s desired concessions were revealed – it’s an increase of three points for the leave campaign, a decrease of five points for the remain campaign, with an additional 2% joining the undecided camp.
The poll also asked whether respondents felt Cameron was likely to achieve a good deal with the EU in his negotiation.
22% felt he was going to get a good deal, while a significant majority of 56% felt he would not. 22% felt they did not know.
“While YouGov and Survation have both shown small polling leads for leave over remain in September this year, this came on the heels of a period of broad media coverage of this summer’s migrant crisis in Europe. So these latest leave/remain figures will not provide comfort for the prime minister”, Survation founder Damian Lyons Lowe said in a statement.
“Limiting migrant access to benefits was ranked as the top demand by 22% of voters and 27% of undecided voters, showing its potential impact in swinging the referendum in his favour if the prime minister is able to secure this demand”, Lyons Lowe added.
David Cameron has promised the referendum will take place before the end of 2017.