Broker tips: Cineworld, Premier Oil

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Sharecast News | 24 Aug, 2020

Peel Hunt said on Monday that Cineworld presents "an attractive buying opportunity" for investors with an appetite for material risk.

The broker, which rates Cineworld at ‘buy’ with a 180.0p price target, reiterated its view that cinema demand should bounce back once major films are released.

"This starts this week with Tenet in the UK and internationally, and next week in the US," it said.

Peel Hunt noted that the Cineworld share price has fallen further than any other in its sector coverage, but said it should "bounce hard" once investors are reassured over demand.

The broker cut its forecasts to reflect lockdown lasting longer than it had expected, lowering its FY20E EBITDA estimate from $1.1bn to $318.0m.

Peel said that by the time the interims are due on 24 September, both trading and updated information from management should be positive for the share price.

Analysts at Berenberg more than halved their target price on exploration and production firm Premier Oil on Monday, stating that some positive refinancing headlines had been offset by a reduction in net asset value.

Berenberg said confirmation of Premier's debt refinancing terms was "positive" but highlighted that the increased equity raise, and muted net debt reduction due to settlement of currency swaps, had led to "a significant reduction" in NAV.

"The significant increase in the shares in issue, combined with limited debt reduction, results in a significant reduction in core NAV on a per-share basis," said Berenberg.

Berenberg incorporated Premier's first-half results and guidance into its forecasts, resulting in a net impact of an 11% reduction in core NAV to $647.0m - with the company now trading on a 2021 enterprise value/underlying earnings ratio of 4.3x and a free cash flow yield of 20%.

The German bank also said mark-to-market and settlement of cross-currency swaps were expected to cost Premier roughly $150.0m which, along with 1% amendment/repayment fees, should lead to around $120.0m in immediate net debt reduction.

Berenberg adjusted its price target on Premier down to 20.0p from 45.0p but kept its 'hold' rating on the company unchanged.

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